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Pistons at Wizards

NBA · Thu, Nov 12, 7:10 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 11, 11:30 PM ET

The market favourite is Pistons at 78%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed. VEMScore’s model has Pistons at 83%.

OutcomeMarket (vig removed)VEMScore model
Pistons78%83%
Wizards22%17%

Point spread: Wizards +9.5 · Total: 221

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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