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Premier League win probabilities

Numbers as of Nov 6, 3:10 PM ET

Every game here shows two numbers side by side: what the sportsbook market says once the vig is removed, and what VEMScore’s model says. VEMScore locks each forecast before the game and grades it in public, wins and losses both.

Upcoming Premier League games

Tottenham at LeedsSat, Nov 7, 7:30 AM ET · market favourite Tottenham 37%, model 29% Hull City at ArsenalSat, Nov 7, 10:00 AM ET · market favourite Arsenal 82%, model 55% Newcastle at FulhamSat, Nov 7, 10:00 AM ET · market favourite Fulham 47%, model 43% Man City at Nottm ForestSat, Nov 7, 12:30 PM ET · market favourite Man City 55%, model 45% Bournemouth at IpswichSun, Nov 8, 9:00 AM ET · market favourite Bournemouth 50%, model 41% Brentford at BrightonSun, Nov 8, 9:00 AM ET · market favourite Brighton 50%, model 50% Chelsea at SunderlandSun, Nov 8, 9:00 AM ET · market favourite Chelsea 48%, model 34% Liverpool at Crystal PalaceSun, Nov 8, 9:00 AM ET · market favourite Liverpool 61%, model 42% Aston Villa at Man UnitedSun, Nov 8, 11:30 AM ET · market favourite Man United 44%, model 43% Fulham at Man CitySat, Nov 21, 7:30 AM ET · market favourite Man City 66%, model 59% Sunderland at Aston VillaSat, Nov 21, 10:00 AM ET · market favourite Aston Villa 54%, model 49% Nottm Forest at BournemouthSat, Nov 21, 10:00 AM ET · market favourite Bournemouth 48%, model 48% Leeds at ChelseaSat, Nov 21, 10:00 AM ET · market favourite Chelsea 52%, model 47% Crystal Palace at CoventrySat, Nov 21, 10:00 AM ET · market favourite Coventry 40%, model 44% Ipswich at TottenhamSat, Nov 21, 10:00 AM ET · market favourite Tottenham 63%, model 48% Arsenal at NewcastleSat, Nov 21, 12:30 PM ET · market favourite Arsenal 60%, model 46% Brighton at Hull CitySun, Nov 22, 9:00 AM ET · market favourite Brighton 62%, model 41% Man United at LiverpoolSun, Nov 22, 11:30 AM ET · market favourite Liverpool 52%, model 48% Everton at BrentfordMon, Nov 23, 3:00 PM ET · market favourite Brentford 50%, model 47%

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