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Miami (OH) at Kent State

College football · Tue, Nov 17, 7:00 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 12, 4:01 PM ET

The market favourite is Miami (OH) at 72%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed. VEMScore’s model has Miami (OH) at 71%.

OutcomeMarket (vig removed)VEMScore model
Miami (OH)72%71%
Kent State28%29%

Point spread: Kent State +7.5 · Total: 46.5

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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