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Nebraska at Rutgers

College football · Sat, Nov 14, 12:30 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 8, 11:50 AM ET

The market favourite is Nebraska at 81%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed. VEMScore’s model has Nebraska at 73%.

OutcomeMarket (vig removed)VEMScore model
Nebraska81%73%
Rutgers19%27%

Point spread: Rutgers +12.5 · Total: 54.5

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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