VEMSCOREOpen the board

Virginia Tech at Miami

College football · Sat, Nov 21, 11:00 AM ET · Numbers as of Nov 11, 11:00 PM ET

The market favourite is Miami at 88%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed. VEMScore’s model has Miami at 89%.

OutcomeMarket (vig removed)VEMScore model
Virginia Tech12%11%
Miami88%89%

Point spread: Miami -18.5 · Total: 61.5

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

See the full board

More College football games