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Idaho State at Air Force

Men’s college basketball · Sun, Nov 8, 3:00 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 8, 1:30 PM ET

The market favourite is Air Force at 69%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed.

OutcomeMarket (vig removed)VEMScore model
Idaho State31%Not yet
Air Force69%Not yet

Model warming up. It needs 5 games per team: IDST 2/5 · AF 1/5

Point spread: Air Force -6 · Total: 161.5

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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