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Niagara at Bowling Green

Men’s college basketball · Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 11, 11:00 PM ET

The market favourite is Bowling Green at 90%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed.

OutcomeMarket (vig removed)VEMScore model
Niagara10%Not yet
Bowling Green90%Not yet

Model warming up. It needs 5 games per team: NIA 2/5 · BGSU 2/5

Point spread: Bowling Green -15 · Total: 145

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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