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Southern at Drake

Men’s college basketball · Sun, Nov 8, 3:00 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 8, 1:30 PM ET

The market favourite is Drake at 88%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed.

OutcomeMarket (vig removed)VEMScore model
Southern12%Not yet
Drake88%Not yet

Model warming up. It needs 5 games per team: SOU 2/5 · DRKE 0/5

Point spread: Drake -14 · Total: 151.5

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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