Stony Brook at Princeton

Men’s college basketball · Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 11, 4:05 PM ET

The market favourite is Princeton at 66%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed.

Model warming up. It needs 5 games per team: STBK 1/5 · PRIN 2/5

Point spread: Princeton -5 · Total: 140

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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