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Tarleton State at San Diego

Men’s college basketball · Fri, Nov 6, 9:30 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 6, 7:50 PM ET

The market favourite is San Diego at 73%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed.

OutcomeMarket (vig removed)VEMScore model
Tarleton State27%Not yet
San Diego73%Not yet

Model warming up. It needs 5 games per team: TAR 0/5 · USD 0/5

Point spread: San Diego -7.5 · Total: 148.5

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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