New Mexico at Fresno State

Women’s college basketball · Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 11, 2:01 PM ET

The market favourite is Fresno State at 65%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed.

Model warming up. It needs 5 games per team: UNM 1/5 · FRES 1/5

Point spread: Fresno State -6.5 · Total: 126.5

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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