North Carolina at South Carolina

Women’s college basketball · Sun, Nov 8, 5:30 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 8, 1:30 PM ET

The market favourite is South Carolina at 88%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed.

Model warming up. It needs 5 games per team: UNC 1/5 · SC 1/5

Point spread: South Carolina -15.5 · Total: 144.5

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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