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Blues at Predators

NHL · Sat, Nov 7, 1:10 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 6, 7:20 PM ET

The market favourite is Blues at 50%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed. VEMScore’s model has Blues at 48%.

OutcomeMarket (vig removed)VEMScore model
Blues50%48%
Predators50%52%

Point spread: Predators +1.5 · Total: 6

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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