Flyers at Blue Jackets

NHL · Sat, Nov 14, 7:10 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 13, 3:20 PM ET

The market favourite is Blue Jackets at 56%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed. VEMScore’s model has Blue Jackets at 54%.

Point spread: Blue Jackets -1.5 · Total: 5.5

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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