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Sabres at Blackhawks

NHL · Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET · Numbers as of Nov 11, 4:05 PM ET

The market favourite is Sabres at 57%, from sportsbook prices with the vig removed. VEMScore’s model has Sabres at 61%.

OutcomeMarket (vig removed)VEMScore model
Sabres57%61%
Blackhawks43%39%

Point spread: Blackhawks +1.5 · Total: 6.5

How to read this

The market number is what the sportsbooks’ prices say about each outcome once the vig, the sportsbook’s built-in cut, is taken out. The model number is VEMScore’s own estimate, built from the final scores of past games. It never sees sportsbook prices. Where the two differ a lot, that is information, not a pick.

VEMScore locks each forecast before the game starts and grades it in public against the market, wins and losses both.

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